Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.179058 0.190293 0.202027 0.215224 0.229689 0.245099 0.262809
2025-04-27 0.159286 0.176747 0.196159 0.219502 0.247027 0.278726 0.318395
2025-05-04 0.144092 0.164999 0.189347 0.220169 0.258695 0.306025 0.369816
2025-05-11 0.131964 0.154760 0.182271 0.218539 0.266071 0.327728 0.416400
2025-05-18 0.122249 0.146128 0.175786 0.216215 0.271368 0.346373 0.460740
2025-05-25 0.113314 0.137513 0.168272 0.211359 0.272130 0.358175 0.496296
2025-06-01 0.106584 0.131103 0.162918 0.208606 0.275068 0.372832 0.537832
2025-06-08 0.101063 0.125817 0.158539 0.206605 0.278554 0.388276 0.582697
2025-06-15 0.097865 0.123359 0.157718 0.209404 0.289177 0.415720 0.652566
2025-06-22 0.092690 0.117863 0.152257 0.204886 0.287941 0.423593 0.688287
2025-06-29 0.087235 0.111682 0.145440 0.197793 0.281885 0.422493 0.706410
2025-07-06 0.082621 0.106451 0.139689 0.191896 0.277184 0.423084 0.727837
2025-07-13 0.080334 0.104484 0.138673 0.193406 0.285146 0.447686 0.805815
2025-07-20 0.078616 0.103263 0.138706 0.196609 0.296385 0.480127 0.910284
2025-07-27 0.076298 0.101045 0.137105 0.197037 0.302797 0.504273 1.002560
2025-08-03 0.073696 0.098281 0.134505 0.195603 0.305668 0.521702 1.083271
2025-08-10 0.071154 0.095486 0.131700 0.193607 0.307262 0.536654 1.162116
2025-08-17 0.068292 0.092090 0.127788 0.189452 0.304371 0.541545 1.214008
2025-08-24 0.066025 0.089504 0.125025 0.187097 0.304708 0.553599 1.291717
2025-08-31 0.064047 0.087278 0.122724 0.185382 0.306114 0.568248 1.383203
2025-09-07 0.063068 0.086540 0.122760 0.187779 0.315924 0.604119 1.561927
2025-09-14 0.060862 0.083813 0.119439 0.183909 0.312508 0.607250 1.623662
2025-09-21 0.058324 0.080493 0.115025 0.177824 0.304006 0.596584 1.629020